The Indian rupee’s uneven buying and selling final week within the wake of the nationwide election outcomes prompted importers and exporters to hedge a bigger portion of their overseas alternate guide within the forwards market, knowledge confirmed.
Importers purchased overseas alternate ahead contracts value $9 billion final week, a greater than 70 per cent leap from the identical interval a 12 months earlier than, knowledge from clearing home CCIL reveals.
Exporters hedged $6 billion, matching the year-on-year enhance for importers.
The spurt in hedging exercise got here in a unstable week that began with the rupee rallying to 82.9475 per greenback on Monday after exit polls indicated a cushty majority for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s occasion and its allies.
However official outcomes on Tuesday confirmed the ruling alliance occasion nearly clung on to its majority, sending the rupee sliding to 83.53.
That vary is roughly consistent with the 83.00 to 83.50 vary the rupee has held over the previous two-and-a-half months and is a “well-expected” near-term one, an FX salesperson at a big personal sector financial institution mentioned.
“Two issues had been liable for the pickup in hedging. One was the perceived enhance within the political threat premium and the opposite, which is extra necessary, was the vary that the rupee itself made,” the salesperson mentioned.
The rupee’s rally on Monday was a chance for importers and the decline after that for exporters, he mentioned.
The foreign money has been held in a slender vary, helped by the Reserve Financial institution of India’s common intervention.
The central financial institution has repeatedly bought {dollars} close to 83.50 to forestall it from breaching the all-time low of 83.5750, hit in April. On the flip facet, the RBI is broadly anticipated to make use of any main rallies within the rupee to construct foreign exchange reserves.
(Solely the headline and movie of this report could have been reworked by the Enterprise Commonplace employees; the remainder of the content material is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)
First Printed: Jun 11 2024 | 1:31 PM IST