NEW DELHI: India’s hopes of reaching the semifinals of the ICC Girls’s T20 World Cup 2024 took a major blow after their heavy 58-run defeat in opposition to New Zealand in Dubai on Friday.
Coming into the match as one of many favorites, India now face a difficult street to the knockout levels, with web run fee (NRR) turning into a important consider a troublesome Group A.
The defeat has positioned India in a precarious place. With solely two groups from every group advancing to the semi-finals, Harmanpreet Kaur‘s aspect now has no margin for error.
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Their group, that includes six-time winners and three-time defending champions Australia, a resurgent New Zealand, arch-rivals Pakistan, and Asia Cup champions Sri Lanka, leaves no simple path forward.
What India should do to qualify for semis
India should now win all their remaining three group-stage matches – in opposition to Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Australia – to face any life like probability of qualifying. Whereas victories alone will assist, the character of these wins is equally necessary.
India’s present web run fee of -2.900, severely dented by the loss to New Zealand, means they have to not solely win however accomplish that by important margins to enhance their NRR, particularly if the qualification race turns into tight.
- Victory over Pakistan (October 6): India’s subsequent match in opposition to Pakistan, who they’ve overwhelmed 12 occasions in 15 encounters, is essential. Whereas India have a powerful historic report in opposition to their rivals, they can not afford complacency. Pakistan are excessive on confidence after beating Sri Lanka comfortably of their opening recreation. A complete win right here will enhance each morale and their web run fee.
- Essential conflict in opposition to Sri Lanka (October 9): Sri Lanka could pose a much bigger problem, having defeated India within the Asia Cup remaining in July. Regardless of India’s general dominance over Sri Lanka in T20 World Cups (dropping solely as soon as), the crew should goal for a large-margin win to keep up their semi-final probabilities.
- The massive take a look at in opposition to Australia (October 13): Probably the most tough hurdle comes within the type of Australia, who’ve gained 25 of their 34 T20I encounters in opposition to India, together with 4 of six conferences in T20 World Cups. India should discover a option to overcome the dominant champions to safe their place within the prime two of Group A.
Impression of different outcomes
India’s destiny is not totally of their arms. Different key group-stage outcomes will play a pivotal position in figuring out semi-final spots:
- Australia vs New Zealand (October 8): A victory for Australia over New Zealand will create extra room for India if they will beat each Pakistan and Sri Lanka by giant margins. Nevertheless, if New Zealand win, India’s job turns into extra difficult, as New Zealand may cement a top-two spot, leaving just one spot open for the remaining groups.
- Pakistan vs New Zealand (October 14): If Pakistan defeat New Zealand, it may throw the group huge open, making web run fee much more important. India’s precedence would then shift in direction of successful by important margins to maintain tempo with the NRR of different groups within the group.
Web Run Charge challenges
With India’s NRR at the moment at -2.900, even three wins could not assure qualification if different outcomes do not go their means. The crew might want to capitalize on matches in opposition to Pakistan and Sri Lanka, each winnable encounters, by securing dominant victories to restore their NRR. Within the worst-case situation of a number of groups ending with comparable factors, NRR would be the deciding issue for development.
