If the exit ballot predictions show true on October 8, when the votes are counted, the Congress will see the return of its authorities within the state after a niche of 10 years. The BJP, which dominated the state for the final 10 years, could possibly be gazing a defeat with the exit polls predicting round 30 seats for the saffron occasion.
A lot of the exit polls have predicted an excellent present by the Congress within the state.Matrize has predicted 55 to 62 seats for the Congress, whereas the ruling BJP may get solely 18 to 24 seats.
In keeping with Individuals’s Pulse, Congress could get 49 to 61 seats whereas the BJP could find yourself with 20 to 32 seats. Dainik Bhaskar predicts 44 to 54 seats for Congress in Haryana and 15 to 29 seats for the BJP. Dhruv Analysis has given 50 to 64 seats to the Congress and 22-32 seats to the BJP.
The Congress has been assured about its prospects in these meeting elections after its success within the 2024 Lok Sabha elections during which the grand outdated occasion had wrested 5 Lok Sabha seats from the BJP and elevated its voteshare from 28.4% in 2019 to 43.67%.
In truth, the Congress had improved its efficiency within the 2019 meeting elections itself when the occasion elevated its tally to 31 seats from 15 it had gained in 2014. The occasion’s vote share additionally noticed a rise from 20.5% to twenty-eight% throughout the interval. The Congress’s finest efficiency within the state was in 2005 when it had gained 67 seats.
However, the BJP’s prospects within the state has been on a decline for the reason that 2019 meeting elections, when it did not win a majority within the state and was compelled to kind a coalition authorities. The occasion, which had stormed to energy within the state in 2014 successful 47 seats with a vote share of 33.2%, was restricted to 40 seats in 2019. This even supposing the saffron occasion’s vote share had marginally elevated to 36.49%.
The BJP ultimately fashioned a coalition authorities with the assistance of Dushyant Chautala’s JJP to retain energy within the state for second time period.
The saffron occasion made a course correction forward of 2024 Lok Sabha elections changing Manohar Lal Khattar with Nayab Singh Saini because the state’s chief minister in March this yr. Nonetheless, the transfer didn’t assist a lot because the BJP suffered a setback and was diminished to five Lok Sabha seats from 10 in 2019. Its vote share noticed an enormous dip from 58% in 2019 to 46.11%.
