BTC Price Tests Support Before Aiming Higher: Crypto Daybook Americas

By Omkar Godbole (All instances ET until indicated in any other case)

In the world of mountain climbing, athletes do not merely seize a brand new ledge and attain out for the following one. First, they put their full weight on the brand new ledge to make sure it is strong earlier than aiming larger.

Bitcoin

has adopted an identical sample since Friday’s U.S. jobs information, which triggered considerations of a recession on the planet’s largest financial system. The cryptocurrency’s value got here beneath stress, dropping virtually to $111,965, testing assist on the then-record excessive set in May, over the weekend. It recovered to commerce just lately round $114,700.

The decline resulted in roughly $670 million in losses on perpetual futures positions, of which over $550 million have been lengthy positions, in accordance with Coinglass. The crowding out of the surplus leverage may imply a extra sustainable upswing in costs.

John Glover, the chief funding officer at Ledn, stated he now expects BTC to rally to round $140,000 by year-end. 10x Research just lately recognized the $111,965 stage as a gorgeous risk-reward entry level for merchants. The value rebound suggests some could have adopted that recommendation to hitch the bull run.

Canary Capital CEO Stephen McClurg argued that bitcoin is quickly positioning itself as a turbocharged threat asset, aligned with Nasdaq traits, however with better volatility. He referred to as stablecoins digital cousins of cash market funds.

On the macro entrance, the nonfarm payrolls information revealed a pointy slowdown within the labor market, reviving prospects of a Fed interest-rate minimize in September. Still, with the expectations being spurred by financial ache, they could not essentially bode effectively for threat belongings. This week’s U.S. CPI and PPI inflation readings will assist solidify the outlook.

Ryan Lee, the chief analyst at crypto change Bitget, stated BTC is more likely to consolidate round $112,000-$118,000 this week, supported by sturdy technicals and ether to commerce within the $3,300-$3,800 vary pushed by ETF inflows and institutional curiosity.

“Rising ETH adoption and on-chain activity could fuel outperformance, but bitcoin’s dominance may cap significant altcoin gains unless broader market sentiment shifts further toward risk-on behavior,” Lee advised CoinDesk in an electronic mail.

Speaking of ether, a whale carried out a big buy-the-dip operation over the weekend, snapping up hundreds of thousands in ETH in an indication of their long-term conviction.

In different information, Base now leads Solana in each day token introductions, pushed by the rise of Zora’s Creator Coins, in accordance with Dune Analytics. Lido, the liquid staking platform, laid off 15% of its workforce.

“While it may seem counterintuitive amid a market upswing, the move reflects a deliberate commitment to sustainable growth, operational focus, and alignment with the priorities of LDO tokenholders,” Lido DAO’s Vasiliy Shapovalov stated on X.

In conventional markets, futures tied to the S&P 500 rose over 0.5% whereas the greenback index added 0.2%. Morgan Stanley referred to as Friday’s dip in shares a buy-the-dip alternative. Stay alert!

What to Watch

• Crypto
  • Aug. 4: Solana Mobile begins worldwide delivery of its Seeker Web3 cellular system.
  • Aug. 15: Record date for the subsequent FTX distribution to holders of allowed Class 5 Customer Entitlement, Class 6 General Unsecured and Convenience Claims who meet pre-distribution necessities.
  • Aug. 18: Coinbase Derivatives will launch nano SOL and nano XRP U.S. perpetual-style futures.
• Macro
  • Aug. 5, 2 p.m.: Uruguay’s National Institute of Statistics releases July inflation information.
    • Annual Inflation Rate Prev. 4.59%
  • Aug. 6: U.S. tariff of fifty% kicks in on most Brazilian imports.
  • Aug. 6, 2 p.m.: Fed Governor Lisa D. Cook will ship a speech titled “U.S. and Global Economy”. Livestream hyperlink.
  • Aug. 7: New U.S. reciprocal tariffs outlined in President Trump’s July 31 govt order turn into efficient for a broad vary of buying and selling companions that didn’t safe offers by the Aug. 1 deadline. These tariffs vary from 15% to 41%, relying on the nation.
  • Aug. 8: Federal Reserve Governor Adriana D. Kugler’s resignation turns into efficient, creating an early emptiness on the Board of Governors that enables President Trump to appoint a successor.
• Earnings (Estimates primarily based on FactSet information)
  • Aug. 4: Semler Scientific (SMLR), post-market, -$0.22
  • Aug. 5: Galaxy Digital (GLXY), pre-market, $0.19
  • Aug. 7: Block (XYZ), post-market, $0.67
  • Aug. 7: Cipher Mining (CIFR), pre-market
  • Aug. 7: CleanSpark (CLSK), post-market, $0.19
  • Aug. 7: Coincheck (CNCK), post-market
  • Aug. 7: Hut 8 (HUT), pre-market, -$0.08
  • Aug. 8: TeraWulf (WULF), pre-market, -$0.06
  • Aug. 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), post-market
  • Aug. 12: Bitfarms (BITF), pre-market
  • Aug. 12: Fold Holdings (FLD), post-market
  • Aug. 27: NVIDIA (NVDA), post-market, $1.00

Token Events

• Governance votes & calls
  • Compound DAO is voting to choose its subsequent Security Service Provider (SSP). Delegates are selecting between ChainSecurity & Certora and Cyfrin. Voting ends Aug. 5.
  • Balancer DAO is voting on creating “Balancer Business,” a for-profit BVI subsidiary of Balancer OpCo Ltd. This new authorized entity would formalize protocol charge administration and on-chain operations, changing the present DAO multisig mannequin. Voting ends Aug. 5.
  • Arbitrum DAO is voting to renew its partnership with Entropy Advisors for 2 extra years beginning September. The proposal contains $6 million in funding and 15 million ARB in incentives for Entropy to give attention to treasury administration, incentive design, information infrastructure and ecosystem development. Voting ends Aug. 7.
  • BendDAO is voting on a plan to stabilize BEND by burning 50% of treasury tokens, restarting lender rewards and launching month-to-month buybacks utilizing 20% of protocol income. Voting ends Aug. 10
• Unlocks
  • Aug. 9: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.3% of its circulating provide price $12.30 million.
  • Aug. 12: Aptos to unlock 1.73% of its circulating provide price $48.18 million.
  • Aug. 15: Avalanche to unlock 0.39% of its circulating provide price $36.65 million.
  • Aug. 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 3.53% of its circulating provide price $14.84 million.
  • Aug. 15: Sei to unlock 0.96% of its circulating provide price $15.80 million.
• Token Launches
  • Aug. 4: Cycle Network (CYC) to be listed on Binance Alpha, Bitget, MEXC, KuCoin and others.
  • Aug. 5: Keeta (KTA) to be listed on Kraken.

Conferences

The CoinDesk Policy & Regulation convention (previously often called State of Crypto) is a one-day boutique occasion held in Washington on Sept. 10 that enables common counsels, compliance officers and regulatory executives to fulfill with public officers accountable for crypto laws and regulatory oversight. Space is proscribed. Use code CDB10 for 10% off your registration via Aug. 31.

Token Talk

By Shaurya Malwa

• Base has surpassed Solana in each day token introductions, launching 54,341 on July 27, greater than double Solana’s 25,460, in accordance with Dune Analytics.
• Daily launches on Base have skyrocketed from 6,649, pushed by the mixing of Zora and Farcaster into the rebranded Base App.
• Zora posts are actually immediately minted into ERC-20 tokens, every with a 1 billion provide and a Uniswap pool, with creators incomes 1% of all buying and selling charges in ZORA.
• Farcaster’s decentralized social graph amplifies token distribution and engagement by letting customers share and commerce tokenized Zora posts throughout the community.
• As of Aug. 2, Zora-powered launches made up 64.6% of all token launches throughout each Base and Solana, notching up 39,778 new Base tokens that day.
• Solana, nevertheless, nonetheless dominates buying and selling quantity, particularly by way of launchpads like Pump.enjoyable and LetsBonk.
• The surge positions Base as the brand new frontier for social token experiments, whereas Solana retains its edge in memecoin liquidity and market depth.

Derivatives Positioning

• Futures open curiosity (OI) in most majors cryptocurrencies, together with BTC and ETH, dropped barely up to now 24 hours, indicating a scarcity of participation within the value restoration. XRP and SUI noticed a small enhance in OI.
• BTC’s cumulative open curiosity has pulled again to 690K BTC from the excessive of 742K BTC on July 26. The ether market additionally cooled, with OI declining to 13.5M ETH from the report excessive of 15.3M on July 29.
• On the CME, the annualized three-month foundation in BTC and ETH futures dropped to round 6%-7% from the excessive of 10% final week.
• On Deribit, short-tenor BTC and ETH places commerce at a premium to the spot value, reflecting persistent draw back considerations.
• Some merchants have snapped up larger strike name choices up to now 24 hours, positioning for a tactical rebound to new highs above $124K.

Market Movements

• BTC is up 0.19% from 4 p.m. ET Sunday at $114,393 (24hrs: +0.57%)
• ETH is up 1.82% at $3,556.82 (24hrs: +2.38%)
• CoinDesk 20 is up 1.40% at 3,766.02 (24hrs: +2.03%)
• Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 19 bps at 2.86%
• BTC funding charge is at 0.0047% (5.185% annualized) on Binance

• DXY is down 0.30% at 98.85
• Gold futures are up 0.32% at $3,410.80
• Silver futures are up 0.94% at $37.28
• Nikkei 225 closed down 1.25% at 40,290.70
• Hang Seng closed up 0.92% at 24,733.45
• FTSE is up 0.35% at 9,100.13
• Euro Stoxx 50 is up 1.28% at 5,231.91
• DJIA closed on Friday down 1.23% at 43,588.58
• S&P 500 closed down 1.60% at 6,238.01
• Nasdaq Composite closed down 2.24% at 20,650.13
• S&P/TSX Composite closed down 0.88% at 27,020.43
• S&P 40 Latin America closed down 0.39% at 2,553.89
• U.S. 10-Year Treasury charge is up 1.9 bps at 4.239%
• E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.64% at 6,304.75
• E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.76% at 23,057.75
• E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are up 0.65% at 43,995.00

Bitcoin Stats

• BTC Dominance: 61.98% (-0.32%)
• Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03105 (1.4%)
• Hashrate (seven-day shifting common): 906 EH/s
• Hashprice (spot): $56.80
• Total charges: 2.94 BTC / $334,645
• CME Futures Open Interest: 138,445 BTC
• BTC priced in gold: 34.0 oz.
• BTC vs gold market cap: 9.63%

Technical Analysis

• The chart reveals each day value actions in BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF (IBIT) in a candlestick format.
• The fund fell over 3% Friday, carving out a “bearish marubozu” candle. This sample is recognized by a distinguished purple physique and little-to-no wicks, indicating vendor dominance all through the buying and selling session.
• The incidence of this candlestick sample is taken to signify extra losses forward.

Crypto Equities

• Strategy (MSTR): closed on Friday at $366.63 (-8.77%), +2.32% at $375.14 in pre-market.
• Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $314.69 (-16.7%), +1.98% at $320.91.
• Circle (CRCL): closed at $168.1 (-8.4%), +1.78% at $171.16.
• Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $26.88 (-5.4%), +3.05% at $27.7.
• MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $15.5 (-3.61%), +2.19% at $15.84.
• Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $11.03 (-17.75%), +3.26% at $11.39.
• Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $12.65 (-6.57%), +1.90% at $12.89
• CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.44 (-8.18%), +2.59% at $10.71.
• CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $23.42 (-7.28%)
• Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $34.46 (-3.88%)
• Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $28.38 (-7.98%), +0.88% at $28.63
• SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $17.14 (-8.88%), +5.89% at $18.15.

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

• Daily internet flows: -$812.3 million
• Cumulative internet flows: $54.15 billion
• Total BTC holdings ~1.3 million

Spot ETH ETFs

• Daily internet flows: -$152.3 million
• Cumulative internet flows: $9.51 billion
• Total ETH holdings ~5.74 million

Source: Farside Investors

Overnight Flows

Chart of the Day

• Cumualtive quantity in on-chain crypto perpetual futures protocols hit a report excessive of $400 billion in July, with Hyperliquid accounting for over 70% of the tally.
• The figures are an indication of rising investor curiosity in buying and selling leveraged devices on blockchain.

While You Were Sleeping

In the Ether