ACI projects robust growth in global passenger traffic through 2053

MUMBAI: Over the following three many years, global passenger numbers are anticipated to succeed in 17.7 billion by 2043 and 22.3 billion by 2053, the latter almost 2.4 occasions the projected quantity for 2024, stated the Airports Council International (ACI) World in its airport traffic forecasts 2024-2053.
The new forecasts, which cowl 99.8% of global markets throughout 161 nations, spotlight a compound annual growth charge (CAGR) of three.4% from 2024 to 2043, with a barely slower CAGR of three% from 2024 to 2053. The projections point out a gradual upward trajectory in global aviation, pushed by elements similar to rising middle-class journey demand in rising markets, strengthened worldwide journey, and continued investments in airport infrastructure.
However, short-term challenges embrace geopolitical tensions, financial instability, commerce shifts like reintroduced tariffs, and provide chain bottlenecks, which can gradual restoration in some areas.
ACI World Director General Justin Erbacci stated: “Despite the challenges in the near term, global air travel is poised for steady, sustained growth. It is crucial for airports, airlines, and policymakers to take bold, forward-thinking action to anticipate and meet the demands of the future. ACI World remains unwavering in its commitment to support its airport members, helping them navigate evolving dynamics and seize opportunities ahead.”
Airports Council International (ACI), a commerce affiliation of the world’s airports, is a federated group comprising ACI World, ACI Africa, ACI Asia-Pacific & Middle East, ACI Europe, ACI Latin America and the Caribbean, and ACI North America. As of January 2025, ACI has 830 members, working 2,181 airports in 170 nations.
Key long-term highlights:
Global passenger traffic growth: Between 2024 and 2043, global passenger traffic is projected to develop at a CAGR of three.4%, reaching 17.7 billion passengers. By 2053, global passenger traffic is anticipated to almost double, reaching 22.3 billion, reflecting a CAGR of three% from 2024 to 2053.
Domestic vs. worldwide global traffic growth: International passenger traffic is anticipated to develop at a sooner charge than home traffic over the following three many years. From 2024 to 2053, worldwide traffic is forecast to develop at a CAGR of three.3%, whereas home traffic will develop at a barely slower tempo of two.8%.
Growth in rising markets: The forecast highlights continued sturdy growth in rising markets, pushed by a rising center class and growing demand for air journey. Investments in airport infrastructure in these areas will play a key position in supporting this enlargement.
Air cargo growth: Global air cargo is projected to develop steadily, with a CAGR of two.7% from 2024 to 2043 and a pair of.4% from 2024 to 2053. However, ACI World cautions that evolving commerce insurance policies and provide chain disruptions might introduce volatility in the sector.
Aircraft actions: The variety of plane actions is anticipated to extend considerably, reaching 149 million by 2043 and 176 million by 2053. Airports worldwide might want to put together for this growth by enhancing operational effectivity and investing in infrastructure. ACI stated the newest report additionally introduces a brand new forecasting methodology primarily based on superior machine studying methods.